Title:
Potential Vulnerability of Wood Energy Supply Chain Towards 2050 in the French Mediterranean Area According to the Global Warming and the Evolution of Wildland Fire Hazard
Author(s):
Garbolino, E., Daniel, W.
Document(s):
Paper
Abstract:
Late studies, among them the IPCC reports published in 2014, 2015 and 2018, underlined a potential decrease of forest areas in Mediterranean context due to the global warming. Climate change can generate different phenomena on wood resource like the reduction of Net Primary Productivity (NPP), the increase of trees death-rate or the expansion of wildland fires. All of these events may have a negative impact on the biomass resource used for energy purpose. This assumption, if verified, would have a significant impact on the development of the wood energy supply chain which is usually planned on time range of at least 25 to 30 years. According to this situation, we propose an Ecosystem Based Approach in order to assess the potential areas that are and would be suitable for the development of the wood energy supply chain in all the Mediterranean territories of France. In this frame, we developed two models that are integrated into a Spatial Decision Support System prototype. The results show a possible significant reduction of the suitable areas for the development of the majority of the tree species and a possible increase of the wildland fire areas towards 2050 in many areas.
Keywords:
biomass, energy, wood, climate change, supply chain, wildland fire
Topic:
Biomass Resources
Subtopic:
Biomass potentials and biomass production models
Event:
27th European Biomass Conference and Exhibition
Session:
1AO.1.2
Pages:
23 - 31
ISBN:
978-88-89407-19-6
Paper DOI:
10.5071/27thEUBCE2019-1AO.1.2
Price:
FREE
