Expected Net Primary Productivity Evolution Towards 2100 in Mexico Country: Implications for Wood Energy Supply Chain
Garbolino, E., Hinojos Mendoza, G., Daniel, W., Gutierrez Ramos, C., Heredia Corral, D., Soto Cruz, R.
Biomass represents in Mexico 5% of energy production and wood represents 3.5% of the total energy supply and around 38% of the renewable energy sources. Wood biomass plays a role in the energy production of the country. IPCC scenarios and results have shown, like other studies that climate change may affect some forest structures in Mexico towards 2100 and thus, the wood supply chain for energy uses. We propose a study in order to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the evolution of the spatial distribution of suitable areas for the development of Pinus forests, Quercus forests and mixed forests. We also apply a model for the assessment of the evolution of Net Primary Productivity (NPP) by 2100. The combination of those two models integrated into CDS (Climate Data Science) toolbox underlines a risk of wood decrease for the selected forest structures by 2100, highlighting the risk of loss of biomass for the energy purpose.
geographical information system (GIS), climate change, net primary productivity, forest management, wood supply chain
Sustainable Resources for Decarbonising the Economy
Biomass potentials and biomass production models
28th European Biomass Conference and Exhibition
46 - 49
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